The stock market was extremely volatile last week, but do you know that it was due to an event called “Quadruple Witching”? This is an event which occurs four times a year on the third Friday of March, June, September, and December.
Last Friday was the third Friday of September, it was a day on which four derivatives contracts expire simultaneously, namely:
- Stock index futures
- Stock index options
- Stock options, and
- Single stock futures
If you are not familiar with options and futures, you can read my two recent articles below.
Additional Readings:
- How to Hedge Your Stock Portfolio Risks Using Futures Contracts
- How to Increase Your Stock Portfolio Return With Option Strategies
The expiry of the contracts typically creates heavy trading volume because investors and traders need to offset existing futures and options contracts that are profitable. But interestingly, the market seems to have a high probability of directional shift after the Quadruple Witching event.
In the chart below, I have highlighted the price point and volume of the S&P 500 during the period of the past few Quadruple Witching days.
In my latest TikTok Video, I give more explanation on the “Quad Witching effect”. Click the video below to learn more.
@firewithivan The recent #stockmarket #volatility is largely driven by an special event called “Quadruple Witching”. Don’t be fooled by the short term movement. #inflation #investing #education